Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers walked off the Chicago White Sox 4-3 in ten innings on June 1, 2024, at American Family Field, completing a comeback that the DiamondIQ model had anticipated from the start, assigning Milwaukee an 84% pre-game win probability that ultimately closed at 100%.

The game's decisive moments were concentrated in the hands of Willy Adames, whose bat produced the two most impactful plays of the contest. In the bottom of the seventh, Adames delivered a single off Jordan Leasure that shifted win probability by plus 25.0%, pulling Milwaukee level in a game that had been tilted toward Chicago after Gavin Sheets hit a two-run home run off Robert Gasser in the top of the fourth, a swing that had carried a plus 19.5% win-probability impact for the White Sox. The tension extended into extras, where Michael Kopech came on to protect a tie and instead surrendered the walk-off single to Adames in the bottom of the tenth, a hit worth plus 28.4% in win probability and the largest single swing of the game. Kopech had already navigated a crucial moment in the ninth when William Contreras struck out to preserve the tie, a strikeout that added plus 14.0% to Chicago's side of the ledger.

Adames finished as the game's top batter by a wide margin, accumulating plus 36.6% in combined WPA and plus 2.6 RE24, while Contreras contributed plus 23.0% WPA despite the strikeout that ultimately worked against his club in the extra frame. On the pitching side, Garrett Crochet led all arms with plus 36.0% WPA, a figure that reflected extended and effective work for Milwaukee, with Elvis Peguero and Joel Payamps adding plus 13.5% and plus 10.6% WPA respectively to close it out.