Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Boston Red Sox defeated the Detroit Tigers 6-3 at Fenway Park on June 1, 2024, improving the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Boston victory from 57% before first pitch to a certainty by the final out. Detroit struck first with a run in the top of the first, but Boston methodically built its lead across the middle innings, with the game's decisive sequence arriving in the sixth when the Red Sox offense and pitching staff combined to effectively close the door on the Tigers.

The single most impactful moment of the game came in the bottom of the sixth, when Enmanuel Valdez launched a home run off Reese Olson that shifted win probability 11.1 points in Boston's favor. That swing was part of a dominant night for Valdez, who also homered off Olson in the second inning for a 7.7-point swing and doubled off him in the fourth for a 5.8-point gain, finishing with a cumulative WPA of plus-24.6 and an RE24 of plus-3.1, the most impactful offensive performance of the game by a wide margin. In that same sixth inning, Detroit's Wenceel Pérez hit into a double play off Brennan Bernardino that cost the Tigers 8.5 points of win probability, halting any chance at a rally. Matt Vierling added a double off Cooper Criswell for a 7.8-point swing and finished with a WPA of plus-6.2.

On the pitching side, Brennan Bernardino led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-17.1, underscoring how critical his sixth-inning work was in preserving the Boston advantage. Cooper Criswell contributed plus-5.6 WPA. Detroit's three errors proved costly against a Boston lineup that committed none, and a two-run Tigers ninth came far too late to threaten a Red Sox club that had controlled the game through its middle innings.