Oakland Athletics at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap

The Oakland Athletics overcame a 70 percent pre-game home win probability assigned by the DiamondIQ model to defeat the Atlanta Braves 11-9 at Truist Park on June 1, 2024, collecting 16 hits in the process. Oakland seized early control with a four-run second inning, but Atlanta answered with a six-run fifth that briefly swung momentum sharply in the Braves' favor. Matt Olson then delivered the decisive blow of the night, connecting for a home run off T.J. McFarland in the bottom of the fifth that added 22.1 percent to Atlanta's win probability, representing the single largest win-probability swing of the game. Marcell Ozuna followed with a single off Aaron Brooks that added another 13.8 percent, and the Braves appeared positioned to complete the comeback. However, Brent Rooker answered in the top of the sixth with a triple off Pierce Johnson that shifted 15.7 percent of win probability back to Oakland, effectively neutralizing Atlanta's surge and pushing the Athletics back in front.

Olson finished as the game's most impactful offensive player, accumulating a combined 38.4 percent in WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.5. Rooker was equally consequential, posting 25.0 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.1, while Adam Duvall also contributed 25.0 percent WPA for Atlanta in a losing effort. On the mound, Oakland's bullpen closed it out with Scott Alexander leading the way at plus-13.3 percent WPA, supported by Austin Adams at plus-8.8 percent and Michael Kelly at plus-6.9 percent. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of Atlanta's win probability fell from 70 percent before first pitch to zero by game's end, a complete reversal that underscored just how thoroughly Oakland dismantled the Braves despite playing away from home.