Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers rolled past the Chicago White Sox 12-5 on May 31, 2024, at American Family Field, a result that aligned closely with the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of an 83 percent home win probability. Milwaukee finished with 23 hits to Chicago's nine, and the Brewers' offense delivered damage in waves, scoring in the second, fourth, seventh, and eighth innings to build an insurmountable advantage. The White Sox briefly threatened in the third inning, when Corey Julks lofted a double off Tobias Myers that carried a win-probability swing of plus-18.9 percent, and again in the fifth, when Korey Lee singled off Hoby Milner for a plus-14.4 percent swing, but neither rally gained lasting traction against Milwaukee's deep attack.

The decisive turn came in the bottom of the seventh inning, when the Brewers erupted for six runs and effectively closed any remaining competitive window. William Contreras delivered the biggest single play of the game, a single off John Brebbia that shifted win probability by plus-21.7 percent, and Christian Yelich followed with a double off the same pitcher for an additional plus-16.7 percent swing. Yelich had already been a presence earlier, singling off Erick Fedde in the fourth for a plus-13.1 percent contribution, and by game's end he led all players with a combined WPA of plus-41.9 percent and an RE24 of plus-4.2, making him the clear driver of Milwaukee's offense. Sal Frelick also contributed meaningfully at plus-20.8 percent WPA and plus-2.1 RE24, while Julks led the Chicago side at plus-27.6 percent WPA despite the loss. On the mound, Enoli Paredes paced Milwaukee's relievers with a plus-6.6 percent WPA, helping the Brewers' win probability reach 100 percent by the final out.