Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

The Seattle Mariners defeated the Los Angeles Angels 5-4 on May 31, 2024, at T-Mobile Park, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate opening at a 70 percent home win probability and closing at 100 percent. Seattle built its cushion early, scoring three runs in the first inning, then added a run in the fifth to take a 4-0 lead into the seventh. That lead was nearly erased when Jo Adell launched a home run off Tayler Saucedo in the top of the seventh, the single biggest swing of the game at plus 34.8 percent win probability, pulling the Angels to within one at 4-4. The Angels, however, squandered further momentum in the same inning when Kevin Pillar grounded into a fielder's choice off Trent Thornton, a minus 7.4 percent swing that left Seattle's lead intact at one run.

Ty France answered in the bottom of the eighth with a home run off Matt Moore, a plus 21.4 percent win-probability swing that restored Seattle's two-run cushion at 5-4 and proved to be the decisive blow. The Angels mounted a final push in the ninth against Andrés Muñoz, with Pillar delivering a single for a plus 7.6 percent swing, but Logan O'Hoppe's strikeout to end the inning represented a minus 8.9 percent collapse that sealed the outcome.

On the individual ledger, Adell led all batters with a plus 28.1 percent WPA and 3.1 RE24, his seventh-inning swing accounting for nearly the entirety of his value. France edged him in run-expectancy terms with a 3.4 RE24 alongside a plus 26.9 percent WPA, making the two sluggers the most impactful offensive contributors in the game. On the mound, Bryan Woo led Seattle's staff with a plus 18.0 percent WPA, supported by Muñoz at plus 15.2 percent and Ryne Stanek at plus 10.6 percent, a collective pitching performance that ultimately held off the Angels' late rally.