Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Chicago Cubs 10-6 on May 29, 2024, at American Family Field, a result that aligned with the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of a 62 percent home win probability that ultimately climbed to 100 percent by the final out. Milwaukee did the bulk of its damage in two concentrated bursts, scoring five runs in the third inning and adding three more in the seventh to steadily pull out of reach.

The third inning was the decisive turning point, with three consecutive plays against Cubs starter Shota Imanaga collectively swinging the game. Willy Adames opened the damage with a single that added 6.2 percentage points to Milwaukee's win probability, Gary Sánchez followed with a double that pushed it another 11.6 points, and Blake Perkins capped the sequence with a home run worth an additional 8.0 points. Those three at-bats against Imanaga essentially settled the contest's outcome. Chicago's best opportunity to claw back came in the top of the fifth, but Dansby Swanson's flyout off Jared Koenig cost the Cubs 8.3 percentage points of win probability, and even a Patrick Wisdom hit by pitch in the same frame, which added 7.4 points, was not enough to generate meaningful offense.

Among individuals, Sánchez led all position players with a WPA of plus-11.0 percent and a RE24 of plus-0.9, while Perkins posted a WPA of plus-10.1 and a RE24 of plus-2.1 to anchor the Brewers' offensive performance. Christian Yelich also contributed meaningfully with a WPA of plus-9.2 percent and a RE24 of plus-2.0. On the mound, Enoli Paredes was Milwaukee's most impactful reliever at plus-5.0 percent WPA, and Jared Koenig added plus-2.4, helping the Brewers hold Chicago to six runs despite allowing nine hits.