Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| DET | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
The Story
The Pittsburgh Pirates routed the Detroit Tigers 10-2 at Comerica Park on May 28, 2024, in a game that was never particularly close after the third inning. The DiamondIQ model opened with Detroit holding a 57% win probability, but that figure collapsed to 0% by the final out as Pittsburgh methodically dismantled the Tigers with 13 hits and no errors across nine innings.
The decisive blow came in the top of the third, when Andrew McCutchen connected on a home run off Keider Montero that swung win probability by 27.0 percentage points in Pittsburgh's favor, essentially turning a competitive game into a rout. Nick Gonzales added to Montero's misery in the fourth with another home run, good for an 8.9-point swing, and McCutchen came back in the seventh with a double off Joey Wentz worth an additional 4.4 points. Detroit's lone bright spot by win probability came in the bottom of the sixth, when Matt Vierling hit a home run off Paul Skenes for a 6.5-point swing, though it did little to alter the game's trajectory. A Grant Koch strikeout in the third represented Pittsburgh's most costly at-bat of the night at negative 4.7 points.
McCutchen finished as the game's most impactful player by a wide margin, posting a combined WPA of plus-32.7% and an RE24 of plus-4.7. Nick Gonzales contributed plus-11.7% WPA and plus-1.8 RE24, while Connor Joe added plus-6.2% WPA and plus-1.9 RE24. On the mound, Paul Skenes led Pittsburgh's pitching staff with a plus-11.8% WPA, followed by Aroldis Chapman at plus-1.7%.