MLB Recap · March 6, 2024

Texas Rangers at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

TEX6
Final
COL6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
TEX0103002006102
COL310000020680

The Story

The Texas Rangers and Colorado Rockies played to a 6-6 tie on March 6, 2024, at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick, a result that left the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home victory at 0% after opening the day at 54% in Colorado's favor. The Rangers scored in bunches rather than steadily, plating three runs in the fourth inning and two more in the seventh, while the Rockies answered with three in the first, one in the second, and two in the eighth to keep pace. Texas finished with 10 hits and committed two errors against Colorado's clean defensive showing, while the Rockies generated eight hits of their own.

The game's most decisive single swing came in the top of the seventh, when Blaine Crim launched a home run off Justin Lawrence that shifted win probability by 28.5 percentage points in Texas's favor, the largest single-play impact of the afternoon. The Rockies answered emphatically in the bottom of the eighth against Diego Castillo, with Aaron Schunk's single producing a 21.3-point swing and Bradley Zimmer's fielder's choice adding another 11.5 points toward Colorado, effectively erasing the Rangers' late advantage and forcing the draw. Davis Wendzel's single off Gavin Hollowell in the fourth had earlier contributed a 10.6-point swing during Texas's three-run frame, while Ryan McMahon grounded into a double play off Marc Church in the sixth, a moment that cost the Rockies 10.2 percentage points of win probability at a critical juncture.

Among individual performers, Crim led all batters with a WPA of plus-25.1 and a RE24 of plus-1.7, anchoring the Rangers' offensive effort. Schunk and Zimmer paced Colorado's comeback with WPA figures of plus-21.3 and plus-20.3 respectively, with Zimmer also posting a RE24 of plus-1.1. On the pitching side, Jake Bird led all arms with a WPA of plus-13.5, followed closely by Marc Church at plus-13.3 and Shane Greene at plus-8.8, each contributing to holding the opposition in check during key stretches of this evenly contested spring contest.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025TEX bats firstFinalCOL win %TEX win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Blaine Crim Home Run
Top 7th · off Justin Lawrence
+28.5%
Aaron Schunk Single
Bot 8th · off Diego Castillo
+21.3%
Bradley Zimmer Fielders Choice
Bot 8th · off Diego Castillo
+11.5%
Davis Wendzel Single
Top 4th · off Gavin Hollowell
+10.6%
Ryan McMahon Grounded Into DP
Bot 6th · off Marc Church
-10.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Blaine Crim+25.1%+1.7 RE24
Aaron Schunk+21.3%+0.9 RE24
Bradley Zimmer+20.3%+1.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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