MLB Recap · March 6, 2024

Los Angeles Angels at Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Recap

LAA5
Final
CHC6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA003101000561
CHC01004001-694

The Story

The Chicago Cubs defeated the Los Angeles Angels 6-5 at Sloan Park on March 6, 2024, in a game that began as a relatively close contest before Chicago pulled away through a pair of decisive innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the day giving the Cubs a 54% home win probability, a figure that climbed steadily and ultimately closed at 100% as the Cubs absorbed an early Angels surge and responded with their own.

The Angels grabbed a three-run advantage in the top of the third and added another run in the fourth, but Chicago erased much of that deficit in a pivotal fifth inning. Mike Tauchman's double off Kenny Rosenberg added 11.3% to the Cubs' win probability, and Christopher Morel followed with another double off the same pitcher for a 13.5% swing. Yan Gomes then grounded out, but even that plate appearance contributed 11.4% to Chicago's win probability as runners moved and the Cubs chipped away. A Jake Marisnick fielding error in the top of the sixth briefly benefited the Angels at a 12.5% win-probability swing, representing the single biggest moment working in Los Angeles's favor on the night. Chicago answered in the eighth when BJ Murray connected on a home run off Jimmy Herget, a swing worth 18.8% in win probability that effectively put the game away.

Among individual performers, Javier Assad led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 18.9%, followed by Yency Almonte at plus 15.2% and Adbert Alzolay at plus 3.0%. On the offensive side, Marisnick led all batters despite his error, finishing at plus 24.4% WPA and a RE24 of plus 2.2, while Tauchman posted plus 18.4% WPA with a RE24 of plus 1.8, and Murray contributed plus 18.8% WPA on the strength of his go-ahead eighth-inning home run. The final line showed four Cubs errors against one for the Angels, yet Chicago's pitching and timely hitting proved more than enough to secure the victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalCHC win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

BJ Murray Home Run
Bot 8th · off Jimmy Herget
+18.8%
Bot 5th · off Kenny Rosenberg
+13.5%
Jake Marisnick Field Error
Top 6th · off Carl Edwards Jr.
+12.5%
Yan Gomes Groundout
Bot 5th · off Hans Crouse
+11.4%
Mike Tauchman Double
Bot 5th · off Kenny Rosenberg
+11.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Jake Marisnick+24.4%+2.2 RE24
BJ Murray+18.8%+1.0 RE24
Mike Tauchman+18.4%+1.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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