Minnesota Twins at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
The Story
The Minnesota Twins handed the Baltimore Orioles a 7-2 defeat at Ed Smith Stadium on March 4, 2024, building their advantage steadily across the middle innings and never surrendering the lead. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Baltimore a 54 percent chance to win at home, but by the final out that estimate had fallen to zero, reflecting how completely Minnesota controlled the contest. The Twins produced 13 hits against no errors while holding Baltimore to just three hits, and their pitching staff was anchored by Kody Funderburk, who finished as the game's top pitcher by win probability added at plus 12.9 percent.
The decisive sequence arrived in the fourth inning, when Minnesota batted against Craig Kimbrel and did the most concentrated damage of the afternoon. Emmanuel Rodriguez delivered the single highest-impact play of the game, hitting a home run that shifted win probability by plus 8.9 percent. Royce Lewis followed with a single that added another plus 4.5 percent. The scoring had begun building earlier, with Jair Camargo turning in a double against Dean Kremer in the second inning for a plus 5.6 percent swing, and Brooks Lee adding a single off Kremer in the third at plus 5.1 percent. Baltimore's best individual moment came in the second when Austin Hays flew out against Funderburk, a minus 4.4 percent swing that reflected a missed opportunity to get back in the game.
Among position players, Brooks Lee led all batters with a plus 9.0 percent win probability added and a plus 1.0 RE24, while Royce Lewis posted the highest run expectancy contribution at plus 2.3 RE24 alongside a plus 8.0 percent WPA. Emmanuel Rodriguez contributed plus 7.2 percent WPA despite a neutral RE24 figure, his home run coming at a moment when it carried maximum leverage. Trey McGough and Cole Sands also contributed positively on the mound at plus 2.7 and plus 2.1 percent WPA respectively, giving Minnesota consistent depth from its pitching staff throughout the afternoon.