Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Angels held off the Texas Rangers 3-2 at Surprise Stadium on March 4, 2024, completing the win despite a tense late-inning push from Texas. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Rangers a 54 percent home win probability, but that estimate eroded steadily in favor of Los Angeles as the game progressed, ultimately reaching zero for the Rangers by the final out.
The decisive blow came in the top of the fifth inning when Zach Neto connected on a home run off Yerry Rodríguez, a swing that represented the single largest win-probability swing of the game at plus 21.6 percent. The Rangers responded with some life in the eighth, when Aaron Zavala ripped a double off Adam Kolarek to shift the probability 17.2 percent in Texas's favor, only to see Sam Huff strand that momentum with a strikeout that swung things back 18.7 percent toward Los Angeles. Texas mounted one final charge in the ninth, with Justin Foscue lacing a double off Jorge Marcheco worth plus 17.0 percent, but Anthony Gutierrez grounded out to end the threat and seal the game, that groundout carrying a plus 21.4 percent swing for the Angels' side.
On the pitching side, José Suarez led all pitchers with a plus 12.3 percent WPA contribution, supported by Kelvin Cáceres at plus 8.8 percent and Matt Moore at plus 7.5 percent, a collective effort that kept Texas's six-hit output from doing further damage. Neto finished as the top positional performer by combined WPA and RE24, posting plus 19.4 percent WPA and a 1.5 RE24, while Foscue's plus 17.7 percent WPA in a losing effort stood as the Rangers' most impactful individual moment at the plate.