Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

The Chicago White Sox erased a deficit and held on to defeat the Seattle Mariners 6-5 at Peoria Stadium on February 29, 2024, completing a comeback that left the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Seattle victory falling from a 54 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to zero percent by the final out. Chicago trailed through the early innings after Seattle posted three runs in the second, but the White Sox answered with two in the third and continued to chip away before delivering the decisive blow in the seventh.

The turning point came in the top of the seventh, where Danny Mendick's double off Casey Lawrence shifted win probability by 21.1 percent in Chicago's favor, and Zach Remillard followed with a home run off Lawrence that added another 13.2 percent swing, giving the White Sox a lead they would not relinquish. Seattle threatened in the eighth when Tyler Locklear grounded into a double play, a sequence that cost the Mariners 22.2 percent in win probability, and Michael Papierski's pop out moments later shed another 19.9 percent from their chances. Johan Dominguez was the model's most impactful arm on the night, generating a combined 33.0 percent in win probability for Chicago's pitching staff by navigating that eighth-inning threat cleanly.

Spencer Packard closed the story in the bottom of the ninth, his groundout off Aaron McGarity finishing the game with a 27.0 percent win-probability swing in Chicago's favor and cementing his place as the top batter by WPA at plus-23.9 percent. Mendick finished second among position players at plus-21.1 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.4, while Remillard contributed plus-11.4 percent WPA and plus-0.9 RE24. Chicago finished with ten hits and committed no errors, while Seattle managed nine hits but an error proved costly in a one-run defeat.