MLB Recap · February 29, 2024

Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

KC1
Final
CWS6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
KC000000001183
CWS00012102-690

The Story

The Chicago White Sox defeated the Kansas City Royals 6-1 at Camelback Ranch on February 29, 2024, building a commanding advantage through the middle innings and never relinquishing it. The DiamondIQ model entered the game with Chicago holding a 54% win probability, and that figure climbed steadily before reaching 100% by the final out. Kansas City's three errors contributed to a clean Chicago performance defensively, as the White Sox finished without an error while collecting nine hits against eight for the Royals.

The decisive shift in the game came in the bottom of the fourth, when Gavin Sheets connected on a home run off Alec Marsh, a play that generated the single largest win-probability swing of the contest at plus 11.8 percentage points. Chicago extended its lead in the fifth, with Andrew Benintendi delivering a single off Nick Anderson worth plus 7.2 percentage points, followed by a Braden Shewmake double that added another 6.1 points to the White Sox's probability. Kansas City's best opportunity came in the top of the sixth, when Garrett Hampson drew a walk off Fraser Ellard, adding 5.8 points to the Royals' slim chances, but Austin Nola's pop out in the same frame immediately surrendered 8.8 points back to Chicago. Two more Chicago runs in the eighth effectively ended any remaining drama.

Among individual performers, Sheets finished as the top batter by WPA at plus 19.5 percentage points with a RE24 of plus 2.4, while Benintendi contributed plus 11.0 percentage points. On the mound, Tanner Banks led Chicago's pitching staff with plus 11.0 percentage points of win probability added, followed by Jordan Lyles at plus 6.7 and Jordan Leasure at plus 6.4. Kansas City's lone run came in the ninth inning, a footnote against a White Sox pitching group that controlled the game throughout.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025KC bats firstFinalCWS win %KC win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Gavin Sheets Home Run
Bot 4th · off Alec Marsh
+11.8%
Austin Nola Pop Out
Top 6th · off Fraser Ellard
-8.8%
Bot 5th · off Nick Anderson
+7.2%
Braden Shewmake Double
Bot 5th · off Nick Anderson
+6.1%
Top 6th · off Fraser Ellard
+5.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Gavin Sheets+19.5%+2.4 RE24
Andrew Benintendi+11.0%+0.8 RE24
Braden Shewmake+2.8%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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