Miami Marlins at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
The Story
The Miami Marlins and New York Yankees played to a scoreless 0-0 tie on February 29, 2024, at George M. Steinbrenner Field, with Miami holding a slight edge in hits, finishing with five compared to New York's two, while the Yankees committed one error. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving New York a 54% win probability, but the contest ended with neither side converting, leaving that estimate at 0% — a reflection of a game that simply ran out of innings before a winner could emerge.
The most consequential sequence came in the bottom of the ninth, where TJ Rumfield's pop out off Bryan Hoeing represented the single largest win-probability swing of the game, shifting the Yankees' chances by plus-14.0% in a moment that ultimately amounted to nothing as the game concluded tied. Earlier, Giancarlo Stanton grounded into a double play in the bottom of the fourth off Anthony Bender, a minus-8.5% swing that stalled New York's best scoring opportunity of the middle innings. Anthony Volpe provided one of the few genuine threats in the bottom of the fifth, doubling off Max Meyer for a plus-7.4% swing, but the Yankees were unable to push a run across. In the top of the ninth, Jacob Berry and Griffin Conine both failed to reach against Anthony Misiewicz, combining for minus-12.1% in win probability for Miami's final frame.
On the individual side, Tanner Tully led all pitchers with a plus-18.9% WPA, followed by Anthony Misiewicz at plus-13.5% and Max Meyer at plus-13.3%, indicating that pitching dominated throughout and both staffs largely neutralized opposing offenses. Among position players, Rumfield topped the WPA leaderboard at plus-12.4% despite a minus-0.2 RE24, a reminder that situational leverage can inflate win-probability credit even on outs. Volpe finished second among batters at plus-5.3% WPA with a plus-0.3 RE24, and Paul McIntosh contributed a modest plus-3.1% WPA. The DiamondIQ model favors neither side in the final outcome, as the game concluded without a winner.