Los Angeles Dodgers at Texas Rangers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - | 6 | 10 | 1 |
The Story
The Texas Rangers defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 6-4 at Surprise Stadium on February 28, 2024, in a game the DiamondIQ model entered giving the home side a 54% win probability. The Rangers ultimately closed at 100% in the model's estimate, with the decisive action concentrated in the fifth and seventh innings. The Dodgers drew first blood in the top of the fifth when Andy Pages hit a home run off Josh Sborz, a swing that added 22.2% to Los Angeles's win probability and stood as the single most impactful offensive play of the game for the visitors. Texas answered immediately in the bottom half, as Travis Jankowski's single off Joe Kelly pushed Rangers runners home and added 11.4% to Texas's win probability, knotting the contest at two apiece through six.
The seventh inning proved to be the turning point that broke the game open in Texas's favor. Trailing by a run entering the frame, the Rangers mounted a four-run rally against Elieser Hernández that effectively decided the outcome. Elier Hernandez delivered a triple that added 26.3% to the home team's win probability, the single largest swing of the entire game. Cam Cauley followed with his own triple off Hernández, contributing an additional 12.7%, and Texas took a lead it would not relinquish. A potential Dodger comeback bid faded in the top of the eighth when Griffin Lockwood-Powell grounded into a double play off Jonathan Holder, a sequence that cost Los Angeles 16.2% in win probability.
Among the top performers by the DiamondIQ model's WPA accounting, Andy Pages led all batters at plus-37.5% with a RE24 of plus-2.9, making him the most impactful individual hitter despite finishing on the losing side. Elier Hernandez paced the Rangers offensively at plus-23.4% WPA and plus-1.8 RE24, while Travis Jankowski added plus-16.6% WPA and plus-1.2 RE24 in support of the Texas effort. On the pitching side, Jacob Latz and Ryan Brasier each contributed plus-7.1% WPA for Texas, with Yoshinobu Yamamoto adding plus-6.7% in a solid outing for Los Angeles despite the defeat.