MLB Recap · February 26, 2024

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

MIN2
Final
NYY9

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIN002000000291
NYY00202050-9110

The Story

The New York Yankees defeated the Minnesota Twins 9-2 on February 26, 2024, at George M. Steinbrenner Field, turning what began as a competitive early contest into a decisive home victory. The DiamondIQ model entered the game with the Yankees holding a 54% win probability, a figure that climbed steadily before closing at 100% by the final out. New York scored in three separate frames — two runs in the third, two more in the fifth, and a decisive five-run seventh — while Minnesota's offense could not sustain the early foothold it briefly established.

The game's most impactful single play came in the bottom of the third, when Juan Soto doubled off Matt Bowman to swing win probability 17.2 points in New York's favor, matching the tone the Yankees would set the rest of the afternoon. In the fifth, Gleyber Torres added a single off Ryan Jensen worth 12.6 percentage points, and Jace Avina followed with a double off the same pitcher that shifted the needle another 10.5 points. Minnesota's best chance to interrupt that momentum came in the top of the sixth, but Anthony Prato grounded into a double play off Cody Morris, a sequence that cost the Twins 10.5 points of win probability and effectively closed the door on any rally.

Among the individual standouts, Soto led all batters with a WPA of plus 16.8 and an RE24 of plus 1.4, while Avina finished at plus 14.4 WPA and plus 1.3 RE24. Elijah Dunham contributed the highest RE24 among position players at plus 1.8, paired with a WPA of plus 10.0. On the mound, Cody Morris was the most valuable Yankees arm by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, posting plus 16.6 WPA, with Cody Poteet adding plus 9.0 in support. Minnesota finished with a team error and fell to nine runs allowed against a Yankees staff that did not commit a single miscue in the field.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIN bats firstFinalNYY win %MIN win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Juan Soto Double
Bot 3rd · off Matt Bowman
+17.2%
Gleyber Torres Single
Bot 5th · off Ryan Jensen
+12.6%
Anthony Prato Grounded Into DP
Top 6th · off Cody Morris
-10.5%
Jace Avina Double
Bot 5th · off Ryan Jensen
+10.5%
Jair Camargo Single
Top 3rd · off Nestor Cortes
+8.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Juan Soto+16.8%+1.4 RE24
Jace Avina+14.4%+1.3 RE24
Elijah Dunham+10.0%+1.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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