Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Texas Rangers defeated the Chicago White Sox 4-2 at Camelback Ranch on February 26, 2024, finishing with eight hits and no errors while holding Chicago to six hits. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 54 percent home win probability for the White Sox, but that figure collapsed to zero by the final out as Texas seized control with a decisive three-run seventh inning that proved to be the margin of victory.

The pivotal sequence came in the top of the seventh against reliever Fraser Ellard, where Elier Hernandez delivered a single that shifted win probability by plus-16.4 percent, and Blaine Crim immediately followed with a double worth an additional plus-16.2 percent — together representing the two largest positive swings of the game. Chicago's best moment had come earlier in the third inning, when Eloy Jimenez drove a double off Zak Kent for a plus-12.0 percent swing, and the White Sox generated some late hope in the ninth when Peyton Burdick reached on a forceout off Reid Birlingmair for another plus-12.0 percent move, though it went for nothing in the end. Sam Huff's strikeout against Ky Bush in the sixth was the costliest individual at-bat for Texas, registering a minus-11.3 percent drop.

Crim led all position players with a plus-17.2 percent WPA and a plus-1.1 RE24, while Hernandez finished at plus-16.4 percent and a plus-1.3 RE24. Jimenez paced the White Sox with a plus-13.7 percent WPA and a game-high plus-1.4 RE24 despite being on the losing side. On the mound, Ky Bush was the most impactful arm of the afternoon at plus-13.7 percent WPA, followed by Daniel Robert at plus-13.3 percent and Marc Church at plus-8.8 percent, as the Rangers pitching staff collectively kept Chicago from mounting any sustained threat.