Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| BOS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
The Story
The Boston Red Sox walked off the Philadelphia Phillies 7-6 on February 26, 2024, at JetBlue Park, completing a late comeback after the Phillies had seized control with a three-run sixth inning. The DiamondIQ model opened with Boston as a modest 54% pre-game favorite and closed at 100% following a wild ninth inning that swung the game's outcome entirely.
The Phillies threatened to put the game away in the top of the sixth when Aramis Garcia connected on a home run off Brian Van Belle, a swing that shifted win probability by plus 22.8 points and gave Philadelphia its biggest cushion of the afternoon. Whit Merrifield had earlier added a solo shot in the third off Lucas Luetge, that blast registering a plus 18.8 point swing. Boston answered with two runs in the eighth to cut the deficit, setting up a decisive bottom ninth against Andrew Schultz. The frame turned on a wild pitch, the single highest-leverage moment of the game at plus 35.9 points of win probability, which allowed the tying run to score. Chase Meidroth followed with a single worth plus 25.9 points, though a Mark Kolozsvary ground into a double play nearly unraveled the rally at minus 29.5 points before Boston ultimately pushed across the winning run.
Among individual contributors, Karson Simas led all batters with a plus 27.0 WPA and a 0.3 RE24, his involvement in the ninth-inning sequence proving decisive. Aramis Garcia posted a plus 24.5 WPA and led position players with a 2.2 RE24, while Nick Yorke added a plus 23.2 WPA. On the mound, Tristan Garnett was the most valuable arm by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, contributing plus 12.9 WPA, with Michael Rucker and Ryan Burr each adding plus 6.3 WPA in Boston's bullpen effort.