MLB Recap · February 26, 2024

Los Angeles Angels at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

LAA11
Final
SF9

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA20500040011121
SF0012420009151

The Story

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the San Francisco Giants 11-9 on February 26, 2024, at Scottsdale Stadium in a game that swung dramatically across multiple innings. The DiamondIQ model opened with the Giants holding a 54% win probability, but that edge eroded entirely as Los Angeles outscored San Francisco by two runs despite being outhit 15 to 12 on the night.

The decisive turning points came in clusters. Tyler Fitzgerald gave the Giants life in the bottom of the fifth with a home run off Ben Joyce that shifted win probability by 30.3 points in San Francisco's favor, representing the single largest play of the game. Ismael Munguia followed in the bottom of the sixth with another home run, this one off Walbert Ureña, adding another 21.1 points to the Giants' probability and briefly making their position look tenable. However, the Angels answered emphatically in the top of the seventh, with Nelson Rada delivering a key single off Wil Jensen that swung win probability 15.8 points toward Los Angeles as part of a four-run frame that proved to be the game's final lead change. Jack Dashwood then secured a pivotal strikeout of Yoshi Tsutsugo in the bottom of the eighth, a 16.4-point swing that effectively shut the door on a Giants rally.

Among individuals, Fitzgerald finished as the top batter by WPA at plus 27.5% with a RE24 of plus 2.3, while Nelson Rada posted plus 16.6% WPA and plus 1.3 RE24 to anchor the Angels' offensive response. On the mound, Griffin Canning led all pitchers with a plus 16.7% WPA contribution, supported by Dashwood at plus 13.3% and Ethan Small at plus 8.9%, collectively stabilizing the Angels' advantage through the game's final stages.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalSF win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Tyler Fitzgerald Home Run
Bot 5th · off Ben Joyce
+30.3%
Ismael Munguia Home Run
Bot 6th · off Walbert Ureña
+21.1%
Yoshi Tsutsugo Strikeout
Bot 8th · off Jack Dashwood
-16.4%
Nelson Rada Single
Top 7th · off Wil Jensen
+15.8%
Yusniel Díaz Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Tyler Thomas
+14.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Tyler Fitzgerald+27.5%+2.3 RE24
Yusniel Díaz+18.1%+0.1 RE24
Nelson Rada+16.6%+1.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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