New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies shut out the New York Yankees 4-0 on February 25, 2024, at BayCare Ballpark, handing New York a loss in which they managed just one hit and committed two errors. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Philadelphia a 54 percent win probability as the home side, and by the final out that figure had climbed to 100 percent, a reflection of how thoroughly the Phillies controlled the contest from the second inning onward.

The decisive stretch came in the bottom of the second, where Philadelphia plated three runs and effectively put the game away early. A fielding error by Matt Keating on a Trea Turner plate appearance was the single biggest swing of the night, shifting win probability by plus 7.5 percent in Philadelphia's favor. Cristian Pache followed with a single off Marcus Stroman worth plus 5.7 percent, and Garrett Stubbs added another single off Stroman that moved the needle a further plus 5.3 percent. The Phillies added an insurance run in the fourth when Pache drove a home run off Ron Marinaccio, a swing worth plus 5.8 percent in win probability.

Pache was the game's standout performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, finishing with a combined WPA of plus 11.6 percent and an RE24 of plus 1.8 across his two key contributions. Turner posted a plus 7.8 percent WPA and plus 1.4 RE24, while Stubbs contributed plus 5.9 percent WPA and plus 1.0 RE24. On the pitching side, Jeff Hoffman led Philadelphia's relievers with a plus 4.6 percent WPA, followed closely by Matt Strahm at plus 4.4 percent and José Alvarado at plus 3.5 percent, as the Phillies bullpen preserved the shutout without incident.