Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| MIL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
The Story
The Colorado Rockies erased Milwaukee's pre-game home-field edge and rolled to a 10-3 victory over the Brewers at American Family Fields of Phoenix on February 25, 2024, putting up 10 runs on 18 hits while committing no errors. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with Milwaukee holding a 54% win probability, but that figure was driven to 0% by the final out as Colorado's offense dismantled the Brewers' pitching across the middle innings.
The decisive sequence came in the top of the fourth inning, when Colorado sent Milwaukee starter Harold Chirino to the showers with a five-run outburst that served as the game's true turning point. Willie MacIver's single led the charge, adding 9.8% in win probability, followed immediately by Adael Amador's single at plus 9.4% and Julio Carreras's double at plus 8.1%, all coming at the expense of Chirino. The Rockies had also done early damage in the second inning, when Hunter Goodman and Michael Toglia each went deep against Taylor Clarke, each swing worth 4.9% in win probability and signaling that Colorado's bats would not be quieted.
On the individual ledger, Julio Carreras finished as the game's most impactful offensive player at plus 12.1% WPA and plus 1.1 RE24, with Adael Amador adding plus 7.7% WPA and Willie MacIver contributing plus 6.6% WPA. On the mound, Karl Kauffmann led Colorado's pitching staff with plus 7.3% WPA, supported by Anthony Molina at plus 4.9% and J.B. Bukauskas at plus 4.8%, a collective effort that held Milwaukee to just five hits across nine innings.