Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Oakland Athletics 4-2 on February 25, 2024, at Camelback Ranch, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 54% pre-game home win probability all the way to 100% by the final out. Los Angeles built its lead methodically through the middle innings, leaving Oakland with little room to recover despite a seventh-inning push.

The decisive sequence began in the bottom of the second, when James Outman connected on a home run off Kyle Muller, a swing that shifted win probability 7.8 points in the Dodgers' favor. Max Muncy then delivered the most impactful play of the game in the bottom of the fourth, sending a home run off Francisco Pérez that added 14.7 percentage points to Los Angeles's win probability and represented the single largest swing of the contest. A James Outman added 8.3% WPA on the day while Max Muncy finished as the game's top offensive performer at +12.8% WPA and +1.3 RE24. Oakland did manage a Hoy Park double in the top of the seventh that shifted things 7.2 points toward the Athletics, and Travis Swaggerty contributed +7.4% WPA to close out as Oakland's most impactful bat at +0.9 RE24, but Esteury Ruiz's strikeout double play in the top of the eighth against Kevin Gowdy erased 13.8 points of Oakland win probability and effectively closed the door.

On the mound, Kevin Gowdy led all Dodgers pitchers at +8.1% WPA, followed by Michael Hobbs at +6.3% and Benony Robles at +5.8%, a trio that collectively neutralized Oakland's late-game threats. The Athletics finished with five hits and no errors but could not overcome the Dodgers' four-run advantage, which was constructed almost entirely through two home runs and sustained pitching through the game's critical middle and late frames.