Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap

The Cincinnati Reds shut out the Cleveland Guardians 4-0 on February 24, 2024, at Goodyear Ballpark, holding Cleveland scoreless across all nine innings despite both clubs finishing with seven hits. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with the Guardians holding a 54% win probability at first pitch, but that figure eroded steadily and closed at 0% by game's end as Cincinnati's pitching staff kept Cleveland off the board throughout.

The decisive blow came in the top of the fourth, when Will Benson connected on a home run off Adam Oller, shifting win probability by plus 11.8 points in Cincinnati's favor. The Reds extended the lead with a run in the sixth, aided by Bubba Thompson's double off Cade Smith that swung the probability another plus 7.1 points. Cincinnati put the game away in the eighth when Tyler Callihan launched a home run off Nic Enright, the single largest swing of the contest at plus 16.1 percentage points. The negative moments were largely contained, with Tyler Stephenson's strikeout off Oller in the fourth registering as the game's costliest out at minus 8.7 points, followed by Conner Capel's fielder's choice out in the eighth at minus 7.2 points.

Among individual contributors, Callihan led all batters with a plus 19.6% WPA and a plus 2.1 RE24, while Benson posted plus 11.0% WPA and plus 0.8 RE24. Michael Trautwein added plus 9.7% WPA and plus 0.7 RE24 on the offensive side. On the mound, Brett Kennedy paced Cincinnati's pitching staff with a plus 10.0% WPA, followed by Brooks Kriske at plus 7.5% and Justin Bruihl at plus 6.8%, as the three combined to anchor a dominant performance from a rotation that never allowed Cleveland to gain a foothold.