Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| STL | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 1 |
The Story
The Miami Marlins rallied past the St. Louis Cardinals 9-8 on February 24, 2024, at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium in a game that swung dramatically late. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 54% pre-game win probability for St. Louis and closed it at 0%, reflecting how thoroughly Miami seized control by the final out. The Marlins built early momentum in the third inning when Bryan De La Cruz laced a double off Michael McGreevy, a play that added 19.7% to Miami's win probability and was part of a three-run frame that gave the visitors a foothold. St. Louis answered with a three-run fifth to pull back into contention, but the Cardinals could not hold what they gained.
The decisive sequence arrived in the top of the eighth, when Miami put together the game's most impactful offensive stretch against John King. Jonah Bride's single in that frame was the single biggest swing of the entire game, adding 29.3% win probability, and Griffin Conine followed with a double worth another 18.0%, capping a three-run inning that pushed the Marlins ahead for good. The Cardinals threatened in the bottom of the ninth, but Jeff Lindgren induced a strikeout of Jeremy Rivas that closed the door, a play that added 21.4% to St. Louis's win probability in defeat — a sign of how tense the final frame remained.
Among the standout performers, Matt Koperniak led all players with a combined WPA of plus-34.3% and a RE24 of plus-2.6, highlighted by a single off Kent Emanuel in the seventh inning that added 14.5% to Miami's chances. Bryan De La Cruz finished with a WPA of plus-19.7% and the game's best RE24 among hitters at plus-2.9, while Bride contributed plus-26.1% WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.6. On the mound, Wilking Rodríguez led Miami's relievers with a WPA of plus-8.3%, followed by JoJo Romero and Declan Cronin each adding plus-7.1%. The Marlins finished with 14 hits and committed no errors, while St. Louis was charged with one error across its 12-hit afternoon.