Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Chicago White Sox walked off the Seattle Mariners 8-7 on February 24, 2024, at Camelback Ranch in a game that swung dramatically in its final innings. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 54 percent home win probability for Chicago, a figure that fluctuated wildly before settling at 100 percent when the final out was recorded.

Seattle looked poised to steal the game in the top of the ninth, stringing together two significant blows against Adisyn Coffey. Alberto Rodriguez delivered a single that shifted win probability by 41.9 points in Seattle's favor, and Hogan Windish followed with another single worth 33.0 points, giving the Mariners a lead heading into the bottom half. The Mariners had also capitalized on a Spencer Packard field error in the eighth off Chase Plymell that swung probability 30.7 points their way, compounding damage from a Korey Lee home run off Juan Mercedes in the seventh that had moved the needle 22.4 points for Chicago. Lee finished as one of the game's most impactful bats with a cumulative WPA of plus-40.5 and an RE24 of plus-2.5.

Chicago erased Seattle's ninth-inning advantage decisively when Edgar Quero lined a walk-off single off Peyton Alford, the single most consequential swing of the contest at plus-47.0 WPA. Quero posted a combined WPA of plus-47.0 and an RE24 of plus-1.1 on the evening. Alberto Rodriguez led all players with a plus-1.4 RE24 despite pitching from the losing side. On the mound, Jordan Mikel was Chicago's most effective arm by WPA at plus-8.5, followed by Aaron McGarity at plus-7.1 and Casey Lawrence at plus-6.7. Chicago committed four errors against Seattle's one, but it was Quero's clutch hit that ultimately defined the outcome.