Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the San Francisco Giants 5-2 at Oracle Park on October 1, 2023, with all the damage coming in a single decisive inning. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Giants a 41% chance of winning at home, but that probability collapsed to zero by the final out after Los Angeles erupted for five runs in the top of the sixth to break a scoreless tie.
The sixth inning was the entire story of this game. With Taylor Rogers on the mound for San Francisco, Enrique Hernández delivered the decisive blow with a home run that swung win probability by 21.0 percentage points in the Dodgers' favor, the single largest play of the night. The inning continued to unravel for Rogers as James Outman followed with a single worth 12.8 percentage points and Amed Rosario added another single at 12.6 points, piling on in a frame that effectively ended the contest. Kolten Wong's strikeout against Rogers was the lone bright spot for the Giants in the inning, costing the Dodgers 6.2 percentage points, but it proved inconsequential amid the five-run outburst.
On the individual leaderboards by the DiamondIQ model's estimates, Hernández led all position players with a cumulative WPA of plus-14.4 and a RE24 of plus-2.1, while Outman contributed plus-13.3 WPA and Rosario plus-9.3. The pitching honors went to Kyle Harrison, who generated plus-26.7 WPA for San Francisco despite absorbing the loss, reflecting how effectively he kept the game scoreless before the sixth. Bobby Miller earned plus-11.1 WPA in relief for Los Angeles, and Victor González added plus-6.3, the latter tied to Tyler Fitzgerald's lineout to end the ninth.