MLB Recap · September 30, 2023

Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

OAK7
Final
LAA3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
OAK100000051781
LAA000000300331

The Story

The Oakland Athletics closed out their road trip at Angel Stadium on September 30 with a 7-3 victory over the Los Angeles Angels, erasing what the DiamondIQ model had been a 68 percent pre-game home win probability for Los Angeles and running it all the way to zero by the final out. Oakland managed just one run through the first six innings, and the Angels appeared well-positioned to protect their early lead heading into the late innings.

The game turned sharply in the seventh, when the Angels briefly seized control. Logan O'Hoppe launched a home run off Joe Boyle that shifted win probability by 32.1 percent in Los Angeles's favor, and Brandon Drury followed with a double off Boyle worth another 14.0 percent swing, pushing the Angels to what looked like a decisive 3-1 advantage. But Oakland answered in the eighth in emphatic fashion. Shea Langeliers delivered the defining blow of the game, hitting a home run off José Soriano that registered a 40.8 percent win-probability swing and fundamentally reversed the complexion of the contest. Esteury Ruiz added a single off Ben Joyce worth another 14.0 percent, and Oakland plated five runs in the inning to take a 6-3 lead they would not relinquish, capping the scoring with an additional run in the ninth for the final 7-3 margin.

Langeliers finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, accumulating a 48.5 percent WPA and a 2.5 RE24 on the strength of that pivotal eighth-inning blast. Zack Gelof contributed a 9.7 percent WPA and a 2.1 RE24 despite a quieter statistical line, while O'Hoppe's 28.7 percent WPA led all Angels hitters in a losing effort. On the mound, Kenny Rosenberg was the most valuable arm by win probability, posting a 28.0 percent WPA in relief as Oakland's bullpen secured the final three outs without incident.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025OAK bats firstFinalLAA win %OAK win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 67.8% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Shea Langeliers Home Run
Top 8th · off José Soriano
+40.8%
Logan O'Hoppe Home Run
Bot 7th · off Joe Boyle
+32.1%
Esteury Ruiz Single
Top 8th · off Ben Joyce
+14.0%
Brandon Drury Double
Bot 7th · off Joe Boyle
+14.0%
JJ Bleday Strikeout
Top 8th · off José Soriano
-13.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Shea Langeliers+48.5%+2.5 RE24
Logan O'Hoppe+28.7%+1.7 RE24
Zack Gelof+9.7%+2.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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