MLB Recap · September 29, 2023

Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

OAK1
Final
LAA5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
OAK001000000142
LAA00032000-590

The Story

The Los Angeles Angels closed out their home schedule with a decisive 5-1 victory over the Oakland Athletics on September 29, 2023, at Angel Stadium. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring the Angels with a 69% home win probability, and that figure climbed steadily toward a final estimate of 100% as Los Angeles pulled away through the middle innings. Oakland managed just four hits and committed two errors, while the Angels posted nine hits and played clean defensively.

The game's turning point arrived in the bottom of the fourth inning, where the Angels did the bulk of their damage against Oakland starter Ken Waldichuk. Nolan Schanuel delivered a single that swung win probability 20.3 points in Los Angeles's favor, the single largest swing of the night, and David Fletcher followed with a single of his own that added another 11.5 points. Schanuel had already worked a walk off Waldichuk in the third inning worth 10.9 points, making him the most impactful offensive player in the game at plus-29.8% WPA and plus-2.4 RE24. Mickey Moniak then put the game out of reach in the fifth with a home run off Waldichuk that registered a 13.6-point swing. Oakland's lone threat came in the top of the third, when Brent Rooker laced a double off Chase Silseth for an 11.8-point swing and the Athletics' only run, but the offense could not sustain that momentum.

On the pitching side, Davis Daniel was the standout performer for Los Angeles, posting a plus-14.7% WPA to lead all pitchers. Adrián Martinez and Francisco Pérez each contributed plus-0.7% WPA in relief. Rooker finished as Oakland's top bat by WPA at plus-9.3% with a plus-1.0 RE24, but it was not enough to offset the Angels' balanced attack and the steady work of their pitching staff.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025OAK bats firstFinalLAA win %OAK win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 68.5% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Nolan Schanuel Single
Bot 4th · off Ken Waldichuk
+20.3%
Mickey Moniak Home Run
Bot 5th · off Ken Waldichuk
+13.6%
Brent Rooker Double
Top 3rd · off Chase Silseth
+11.8%
David Fletcher Single
Bot 4th · off Ken Waldichuk
+11.5%
Bot 3rd · off Ken Waldichuk
+10.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Nolan Schanuel+29.8%+2.4 RE24
David Fletcher+13.9%+0.8 RE24
Brent Rooker+9.3%+1.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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