Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

The Colorado Rockies demolished the Los Angeles Dodgers 14-5 at Coors Field on September 28, 2023, a result that represented a dramatic reversal of pre-game expectations. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had Colorado with just a 30 percent chance of winning before first pitch, a figure that climbed to 100 percent by game's end as the Rockies piled up 18 hits against a Dodgers staff that committed three errors to compound its pitching troubles.

The game turned decisively in the second and third innings, with Ryan Yarbrough at the center of Colorado's damage. Brenton Doyle delivered a double in the bottom of the second that added 13.2 percent to Colorado's win probability, and the third inning proved catastrophic for Los Angeles. Elehuris Montero's home run off Yarbrough was the single most impactful play of the contest, swinging win probability 15.9 percent in Colorado's favor, followed by Sean Bouchard's home run at plus 6.4 percent and a Brendan Rodgers single at plus 5.4 percent, all charged to the same pitcher. The Rockies scored four runs in that frame alone, effectively closing the door on any Dodgers comeback. A late seventh-inning four-run burst added to the margin.

Montero finished as the game's most valuable offensive contributor by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, posting a cumulative WPA of plus 20.3 percent and a RE24 of plus 2.8, while Doyle was close behind at plus 12.3 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 3.0. Charlie Blackmon also contributed meaningfully at plus 8.9 percent WPA. On the pitching side, Chris Flexen led Colorado's staff with a WPA of plus 11.4 percent, limiting damage after Enrique Hernández connected for a home run in the top of the second to briefly narrow the gap.