Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| COL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | 4 | 9 | 0 |
The Story
The Colorado Rockies defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 4-1 on September 26, 2023, at Coors Field, a result that left the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Colorado victory climbing from just 30 percent before first pitch all the way to certainty by the final out. The Rockies struck immediately, plating three runs in the bottom of the first inning against Ryan Pepiot to seize control early, and they never relinquished it. Colorado added an insurance run in the seventh to bring the final margin to three, while the Dodgers managed their lone run in the sixth on a day when their offense generated nine hits but consistently failed to convert them into scoring opportunities.
The game's most consequential individual moment came in the second inning, when James Outman grounded into a double play off Chase Anderson, a sequence that swung win probability 15.2 percentage points against Los Angeles and effectively buried any early momentum the Dodgers might have manufactured. Outman also struck out in the sixth against Brent Suter in a plate appearance that shifted probability 9.9 points in Colorado's favor, while Enrique Hernandez's fielder's choice out in that same frame cost the Dodgers another 10.2 points. On the Colorado side, Sean Bouchard's flyout in the first registered a 11.6-point swing in the Rockies' favor, as Pepiot's inability to escape the inning cleanly proved decisive.
Nolan Jones led all position players with a 21.1-percent WPA contribution and a RE24 of plus-1.2, while Jason Heyward added 10.5 percent WPA and plus-0.9 RE24 for the Rockies. On the mound, Chase Anderson was the game's dominant force, posting a remarkable plus-35.1 percent WPA to anchor the Colorado pitching staff, with Jake Bird contributing an additional plus-13.6 percent in relief. The DiamondIQ model leaned toward the Dodgers entering the game, but the Rockies' first-inning outburst and Anderson's performance made the final result feel inevitable well before the later innings unfolded.