MLB Recap · September 26, 2023

Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

LAD11
Final
COL2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD05002210111180
COL000011000271

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers demolished the Colorado Rockies 11-2 at Coors Field on September 26, 2023, a result that aligned precisely with the DiamondIQ model's estimate, which had opened with Colorado holding just a 29 percent pre-game win probability before finishing at zero. Los Angeles did its most decisive damage in the second inning, plating five runs to effectively end any competitive tension early. David Peralta's single off Ryan Feltner in that frame carried a win-probability swing of plus 5.2 percent, and Chris Taylor followed with a single of his own for an additional plus 4.0 percent swing, as the Dodgers sent Feltner to an early exit with an 18-hit offensive performance that produced no errors on their side while Colorado committed one. The Dodgers added two more in the fifth and two again in the sixth, spreading the damage across the lineup and leaving the Rockies with little opportunity to respond in front of their home crowd.

Bobby Miller was the standout individual by the DiamondIQ model's metrics, finishing with a plus 9.1 percent WPA on the mound, holding Colorado in check while the offense built its commanding cushion. Brendan Rodgers led Rockies hitters with a plus 6.3 percent WPA figure, though his minus 0.6 RE24 illustrated the limited run-production context in which those moments occurred, and Harold Castro's lineout off Miller in the second carried a minus 5.4 percent win-probability swing that underscored how thoroughly the Dodgers' starter neutralized Colorado's best early threats. Enrique Hernandez posted a plus 1.1 RE24 to pace Dodgers position players in run-environment contribution, while Peralta's plus 4.2 percent WPA reflected his central role in the inning that decided the game. Alex Vesia and Victor Vodnik handled late relief duties cleanly, each recording a neutral WPA as Los Angeles closed out a thoroughly one-sided road victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalCOL win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 29.3% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Will Smith Lineout
Top 1st · off Ryan Feltner
-6.4%
Harold Castro Lineout
Bot 2nd · off Bobby Miller
-5.4%
David Peralta Single
Top 2nd · off Ryan Feltner
+5.2%
Brendan Rodgers Forceout
Bot 1st · off Bobby Miller
+4.7%
Chris Taylor Single
Top 2nd · off Ryan Feltner
+4.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Brendan Rodgers+6.3%-0.6 RE24
David Peralta+4.2%-0.5 RE24
Enrique Hernández+3.7%+1.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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