MLB Recap · September 23, 2023

Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics: Final Score & Recap

DET1
Final
OAK4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
DET001000000160
OAK00200002-462

The Story

The Oakland Athletics defeated the Detroit Tigers 4-1 on September 23, 2023, at Oakland Coliseum, overcoming a pre-game DiamondIQ model estimate of just 38 percent home win probability to finish at 100 percent by the final out.

The decisive sequence began in the bottom of the third inning, when Esteury Ruiz delivered a home run off Joey Wentz that shifted Oakland's win probability by plus 19.1 percent, the single largest swing of the game. That same inning had already been set in motion by a Spencer Torkelson fielding error in the top half, which added 9.7 percent to Detroit's win probability and gave the Tigers a brief 1-0 lead before Oakland's offense responded. The Athletics then closed the door in the eighth, when Ryan Noda doubled off Jason Foley for a plus 13.2 percent swing that extended the lead to 4-1. Detroit's best threat in that frame evaporated when Parker Meadows struck out against Trevor May, a moment that swung the win probability 17.0 percent against the Tigers and effectively ended any realistic comeback chance, despite a Matt Vierling walk that had briefly kept the inning alive.

Ruiz finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting a plus 20.4 percent WPA and plus 1.8 RE24, while Noda contributed plus 8.9 percent WPA and plus 0.7 RE24 to support him. On the mound, starter Joe Boyle led all pitchers with a plus 24.9 percent WPA, and Trevor May added plus 19.5 percent out of the bullpen, with Lucas Erceg contributing plus 8.5 percent as Oakland's relievers held Detroit to a single run across nine innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025DET bats firstFinalOAK win %DET win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 37.8% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Esteury Ruiz Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Joey Wentz
+19.1%
Parker Meadows Strikeout
Top 8th · off Trevor May
-17.0%
Ryan Noda Double
Bot 8th · off Jason Foley
+13.2%
Spencer Torkelson Field Error
Top 3rd · off Joe Boyle
+9.7%
Matt Vierling Walk
Top 8th · off Dany Jiménez
+7.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Esteury Ruiz+20.4%+1.8 RE24
Ryan Noda+8.9%+0.7 RE24
Matt Vierling+4.4%+0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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