MLB Recap · September 23, 2023

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

SF0
Final
LAD7

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SF000000000020
LAD01202002-7100

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers completed a thorough 7-0 shutout of the San Francisco Giants on September 23, 2023, at Dodger Stadium, holding San Francisco to just two hits across nine innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring the Dodgers at 66 percent and closed at 100 percent as Los Angeles scored in four separate innings and never faced a serious threat.

The decisive sequence came in the middle innings, where J.D. Martinez served as the primary damage dealer. He opened the scoring in the second inning with a home run off John Brebbia, a swing that shifted win probability 7.4 points in Los Angeles's favor. His most impactful contribution arrived in the third, when he doubled off Jakob Junis to extend the lead, a play that swung win probability by 16.6 points and represented the single largest swing of the game. Martinez finished as the top performer by a wide margin, posting a combined WPA of plus-23.2 and a RE24 of plus-1.5. The only moment San Francisco generated any traction came in the fifth inning, when Marco Luciano doubled off Clayton Kershaw for a plus-6.0 WPA swing, but the frame ultimately collapsed when Austin Slater lined out and Tyler Fitzgerald struck out, erasing any momentum with negative swings of 6.1 and 5.7 points respectively.

Clayton Kershaw led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-11.8, navigating the fifth inning threat to preserve Los Angeles's cushion, while Taylor Rogers contributed plus-6.0 and Joe Kelly added plus-2.0 out of the bullpen. Luis Matos and Marco Luciano were the lone Giants to register positive WPA figures at plus-8.4 and plus-7.8 respectively, though neither translated into runs as the Dodgers defense and pitching staff held San Francisco scoreless through all nine frames.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SF bats firstFinalLAD win %SF win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 65.7% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

J.D. Martinez Double
Bot 3rd · off Jakob Junis
+16.6%
J.D. Martinez Home Run
Bot 2nd · off John Brebbia
+7.4%
Austin Slater Lineout
Top 5th · off Clayton Kershaw
-6.1%
Marco Luciano Double
Top 5th · off Clayton Kershaw
+6.0%
Tyler Fitzgerald Strikeout
Top 5th · off Clayton Kershaw
-5.7%

Top Batters by WPA

J.D. Martinez+23.2%+1.5 RE24
Luis Matos+8.4%+0.6 RE24
Marco Luciano+7.8%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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