Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers shut out the St. Louis Cardinals 6-0 at Busch Stadium on September 21, 2023, holding St. Louis scoreless across all nine innings while committing zero errors against a Cardinals defense that was charged with two. The DiamondIQ model's estimate gave St. Louis a 41 percent chance of winning before first pitch, a figure that eroded steadily and finished at zero percent by the final out.

The game's decisive sequence came through three separate plays off Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas that collectively dismantled any hope of a St. Louis comeback. Blake Perkins opened the scoring in the third inning with a home run, a swing that shifted win probability by 10.5 percent in Milwaukee's favor and proved to be the night's single most impactful play. The fifth inning brought further damage, as a fielding error on Brice Turang's at-bat shifted the model 9.7 percent toward the Brewers, and Sal Frelick added a single that moved the needle another 5.8 percent. The sixth inning delivered the finishing blow, with Victor Caratini connecting on a home run worth 9.4 percent in win probability and Willy Adames doubling to extend the lead, accounting for four of Milwaukee's six runs in that frame alone.

Among the individual performers, Caratini led all batters with a WPA of plus-7.5 and an RE24 of plus-2.4, while Perkins finished at plus-6.3 WPA and Turang contributed plus-5.6 WPA despite his zero RE24 reflecting the error-driven nature of his contribution. On the mound, Wade Miley was the story, posting a remarkable plus-19.7 WPA as the DiamondIQ model credited him with the overwhelming majority of Milwaukee's pitching value in the shutout effort. J.B. Bukauskas and Matthew Liberatore each added plus-0.2 WPA in relief as the Brewers completed a dominant road victory.