Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
The Story
The Toronto Blue Jays shut out the New York Yankees through eight innings and pulled away late to win 6-1 at Yankee Stadium on September 20, 2023, swinging the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a New York victory from 48 percent before first pitch all the way to zero by the final out. Toronto broke the scoreless tie in the third inning, when Bo Bichette singled off Michael King to generate a shift of plus-10.2 percent in win probability. The Blue Jays added nothing more until the eighth, when the game opened up decisively against the Yankees bullpen. Spencer Horwitz drew a walk off Tommy Kahnle that moved Toronto's win probability by plus-12.9 percent, and Whit Merrifield followed with a walk off Ian Hamilton worth plus-8.6 percent. Toronto scored twice in that frame and pushed three more across in the ninth to close the scoring at 6-1.
The standout performers by the DiamondIQ model's win-probability metrics were spread across both sides of the ball. Merrifield led Toronto's position players at plus-11.9 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.3, while Horwitz finished at plus-8.2 percent WPA with the game's highest RE24 among hitters at plus-1.8. Bichette added plus-7.2 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.0, anchoring the earlier offensive contribution. New York's lone bright spot came in the bottom of the sixth, when Austin Wells doubled off Kevin Gausman to generate plus-6.4 percent for the home side, and Giancarlo Stanton's pop out in the third against Gausman represented a swing of minus-5.6 percent that extinguished an early Yankees threat.
On the mound, Kevin Gausman was the story for Toronto, finishing as the game's top pitcher by WPA at plus-30.2 percent, limiting meaningful New York offense deep into the contest. Michael King posted plus-23.5 percent WPA in relief for the Yankees, keeping the deficit manageable for stretches, while Chad Green contributed plus-9.7 percent WPA out of the New York bullpen. The Blue Jays' nine hits against five allowed by New York reflected a one-sided offensive performance that matched the model's final assessment of the outcome.