MLB Recap · September 16, 2023

New York Yankees at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

NYY6
Final
PIT3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
NYY301001010690
PIT201000000341

The Story

The New York Yankees defeated the Pittsburgh Pirates 6-3 at PNC Park on September 16, 2023, handing the home side a loss that the DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected almost entirely by game's end, with Pittsburgh's win probability falling from 49% before first pitch to 0% at the final out. The Yankees scored in five different innings, building their lead incrementally and never surrendering it after the early frames.

The decisive moments were distributed across several innings, each carrying meaningful win-probability weight. Giancarlo Stanton's home run off Luis Ortiz in the top of the third inning shifted the Yankees' win probability by 9.8 percentage points, representing the single largest swing of the game. Gleyber Torres added a double off Hunter Stratton in the sixth that moved the needle 9.1 points, and Oswaldo Cabrera punctuated the victory with a home run off Thomas Hatch in the eighth worth 9.4 points. Pittsburgh's best response came in the bottom of the third, when Ke'Bryan Hayes doubled off Luke Weaver for a 6.7-point swing, though the Pirates could not sustain that momentum. Austin Wells' grounded into a double play off Ortiz in the fourth cost the Yankees 7.0 points and represented the most damaging sequence for New York's side.

On the pitching front, Jhony Brito was the standout performer of the game by a wide margin, generating 23.1 WPA points for New York, the largest contribution from any single player on either roster. Luke Weaver and Ian Hamilton added 6.4 and 5.2 WPA points respectively in relief support. Among position players, Torres finished as the top bat by WPA at plus-8.5, followed by Oswald Peraza at plus-7.3 and Aaron Judge at plus-6.9, giving the Yankees a broad offensive distribution that the Pirates' four-hit output could not answer.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025NYY bats firstFinalPIT win %NYY win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 49.3% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Giancarlo Stanton Home Run
Top 3rd · off Luis Ortiz
+9.8%
Oswaldo Cabrera Home Run
Top 8th · off Thomas Hatch
+9.4%
Gleyber Torres Double
Top 6th · off Hunter Stratton
+9.1%
Austin Wells Grounded Into DP
Top 4th · off Luis Ortiz
-7.0%
Ke'Bryan Hayes Double
Bot 3rd · off Luke Weaver
+6.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Gleyber Torres+8.5%+0.8 RE24
Oswald Peraza+7.3%-0.2 RE24
Aaron Judge+6.9%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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