Los Angeles Dodgers at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Seattle Mariners 6-2 in extra innings on September 16, 2023, at T-Mobile Park, with the game scoreless through nine regulation frames before unraveling dramatically in the tenth and eleventh innings. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had the Mariners entering with a 47% win probability, but that figure collapsed to 0% by the final out as Los Angeles pulled away with a six-run advantage.
The decisive sequence began in the bottom of the tenth, where Mike Ford delivered a single off Evan Phillips that swung win probability by +41.8 percentage points in Seattle's favor, the single largest swing of the game. That momentum proved short-lived, however, as Josh Rojas followed with a fielder's choice out that reversed the Mariners' fortunes by 28.3 percentage points, and Jarred Kelenic then grounded out, adding another 23.7-point shift back toward Los Angeles. The Dodgers escaped the inning, and Chris Taylor had already set the stage with a +32.0% WP single off Justin Topa in the top of the tenth. It was Max Muncy's single off Gabe Speier in the top of the eleventh, worth +34.7 percentage points, that punctuated a five-run frame and effectively sealed Seattle's fate.
Taylor finished as the game's top performer by WPA at +45.3%, complemented by a RE24 of +2.2, reflecting his cumulative impact across run-expectancy situations. Ford led all Mariners contributors at +41.8% WPA before the inning turned against Seattle. On the mound, Bryce Miller paced all pitchers at +23.1% WPA, followed by Emmet Sheehan at +21.6% and Matt Brash at +16.2%, the three of them combining to keep the Dodgers off the board through the bulk of regulation.