Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | 5 | 0 |
The Story
The Seattle Mariners held off the Los Angeles Angels 3-2 at T-Mobile Park on September 13, 2023, in a low-scoring affair that the DiamondIQ model had favored from the start, assigning Seattle a 63% pre-game win probability that ultimately climbed to 100% by the final out.
The game's turning points were clustered in the middle innings and carried significant win-probability weight. Brett Phillips gave the Angels an early foothold in the third inning with a home run off Luis Castillo, a swing that added 10.7 percentage points to Los Angeles's chances. Brandon Drury followed with a double in the fourth, adding another 13.3 points and briefly keeping the Angels competitive. Seattle answered in the fifth when Teoscar Hernández singled off Jimmy Herget, the most impactful single play of the game at plus 15.9 points for the Mariners, helping erase the deficit and tilt the contest decisively in Seattle's favor. Julio Rodríguez had also contributed a double off José Marte in the third that added 11.4 points to Seattle's side. The Angels' best chance to reclaim momentum evaporated in the seventh when Nolan Schanuel grounded out against Justin Topa, a sequence that cost Los Angeles 15.6 percentage points and effectively closed the door.
Phillips led all batters by WPA at plus 24.4 with a RE24 of plus 1.6, while Drury finished at plus 17.9 and Rodríguez added plus 12.3. On the mound, Seattle's bullpen was decisive: Andrés Muñoz led all pitchers at plus 15.2 percentage points, followed by Andrew Wantz at plus 11.2 and Matt Brash at plus 10.8, a trio that collectively secured the one-run victory for the Mariners.