MLB Recap · September 11, 2023

Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

KC11
Final
CWS10

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
KC44100010111122
CWS00001800110102

The Story

The Kansas City Royals defeated the Chicago White Sox 11-10 on September 11, 2023, at Guaranteed Rate Field in a game that swung dramatically before the Royals held on. Kansas City built a 9-0 lead through three innings, scoring four runs in each of the first two frames off Luis Patiño, before Chicago mounted a stunning eight-run sixth inning off Taylor Clarke that pulled the White Sox to within one. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 62 percent pre-game win probability favoring Chicago, but that figure ultimately fell to zero as Kansas City secured the final out.

The decisive moments were distributed across several high-leverage swings. Gavin Sheets' double in the bottom of the sixth was the engine of Chicago's comeback, adding 17.8 percentage points to the White Sox win probability as the big inning unfolded. The Royals answered with a run in the seventh to push their lead back to two, and Angel Zerpa proved critical in the eighth, where Lenyn Sosa's groundout represented a 16.5-point swing against Chicago, Zerpa ultimately finishing with a team-best plus-23.3 percent WPA on the mound. Jordan Lyles contributed plus-14.3 percent WPA of his own, benefiting in part from Trayce Thompson's lineout in the second inning, a play worth minus-15.3 points to Chicago's chances. In the ninth, Eloy Jiménez delivered a forceout off Carlos Hernández that added 27.0 points to Chicago's win probability, momentarily reviving the White Sox, but it was not enough.

Among Royals position players, Dairon Blanco led with plus-17.7 percent WPA and Maikel Garcia added plus-17.5 percent WPA alongside a plus-1.6 RE24, reflecting his contributions in high-leverage run-environment situations. On the Chicago side, Jiménez posted a game-high plus-23.5 percent WPA despite the loss, a reflection of how close the White Sox came to completing the comeback before Kansas City closed it out at plus-11 on the road.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025KC bats firstFinalCWS win %KC win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 62.4% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Eloy Jiménez Forceout
Bot 9th · off Carlos Hernández
+27.0%
Gavin Sheets Double
Bot 6th · off Taylor Clarke
+17.8%
Lenyn Sosa Groundout
Bot 8th · off Angel Zerpa
-16.5%
Trayce Thompson Lineout
Bot 2nd · off Jordan Lyles
-15.3%
Logan Porter Groundout
Top 2nd · off Luis Patiño
+14.9%

Top Batters by WPA

Eloy Jiménez+23.5%+0.6 RE24
Dairon Blanco+17.7%-0.4 RE24
Maikel Garcia+17.5%+1.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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