Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers dismantled the Miami Marlins 12-0 on September 11, 2023, at American Family Field, a result that the DiamondIQ model's estimate had trending decisively toward from the outset. Milwaukee entered with a 59 percent pre-game win probability, and by game's end that figure had climbed to 100 percent as the Brewers posted runs in five different innings and held Miami scoreless across all nine.

The decisive turn came in the bottom of the third inning, where Milwaukee broke the game open against Marlins starter Jesús Luzardo. Willy Adames delivered the pivotal blow of the night, a double that shifted win probability by 10.6 percent in the Brewers' favor. The inning continued to pile on as Josh Donaldson followed with a single worth 5.5 percent, Carlos Santana added another single at 4.5 percent, and Tyrone Taylor chipped in a single of his own at 4.4 percent, all against Luzardo. The Brewers would add two more runs in the fifth and five in the sixth, extending a lead that was never in question.

Adames finished as the game's most impactful offensive performer, contributing a cumulative 11.5 percent win probability added and a RE24 of plus-2.7. Santana and Taylor were not far behind, posting WPA figures of plus-5.2 and plus-5.4 respectively. On the mound, Brandon Woodruff was dominant, producing plus-16.6 percent WPA to anchor a performance that kept Miami's lineup, which managed only six hits and committed one error, completely off the board.