Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| SEA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 |
The Story
The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Seattle Mariners 8-5 in eleven innings at T-Mobile Park on September 11, 2023, erasing a three-run Seattle advantage built in the first inning and ultimately outscoring the Mariners 5-2 over the final two frames. The DiamondIQ model entered the night giving Seattle a 62 percent home win probability, but that figure collapsed to zero by the final out as Los Angeles seized control in extra innings.
The decisive swing of the game came in the top of the tenth when Brandon Drury connected on a home run off Justin Topa, a play the DiamondIQ model measured at plus 59.3 percent win probability added. Seattle responded immediately in the bottom half as Julio Rodríguez answered with a home run off José Marte, a swing worth plus 54.1 percent from Seattle's perspective that briefly reset the drama. The eleventh inning proved fatal for the Mariners, however, as Eduardo Escobar laced a single off Trent Thornton to push Los Angeles further ahead at plus 24.7 percent, and a field error on a ball involving Jordyn Adams off Gabe Speier added another plus 18.5 percent swing that opened the door for the Angels to plate three and put the game out of reach. The groundwork for the Angels' rally was laid in the ninth, when Logan O'Hoppe doubled off Andrés Muñoz for a plus 23.4 percent swing.
Rodríguez led all batters by WPA at plus 64.7 percent with a RE24 of plus 3.1, though his effort ultimately fell on the losing side, while Drury finished at plus 54.6 percent WPA and O'Hoppe topped all position players with a RE24 of plus 3.3 to go alongside his plus 33.4 percent WPA. Among pitchers, Reid Detmers led both staffs with a plus 25.8 percent WPA contribution for Los Angeles, outperforming Logan Gilbert's plus 14.4 percent and Muñoz's plus 13.5 percent on the Seattle side. The model, which had strongly favored Seattle entering the night, leaned toward the home side through most of regulation before the Angels' extra-inning outburst rendered that pre-game lean moot.