Milwaukee Brewers at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers handed the New York Yankees a lopsided 9-2 defeat at Yankee Stadium on September 9, 2023, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate underscored by moving from a 47 percent pre-game home win probability all the way down to zero by the final out. The game was largely a stalemate through three innings before Milwaukee began separating itself in the fourth, where Willy Adames delivered a triple off Michael King that shifted win probability by 19.5 percentage points in the Brewers' favor. New York briefly responded in the bottom half, as Anthony Volpe singled off Wade Miley for an 11.5-point swing and Oswald Peraza followed with a fielder's choice worth another 11.3 points, keeping the Yankees within reach at 2-2 after four. The Brewers then went quiet offensively through the sixth and seventh, the latter inning actually costing them when Brice Turang grounded into a double play off Wandy Peralta, a play that swung win probability 8.8 points against Milwaukee. That proved to be only a momentary setback.

Milwaukee put the game firmly away with a three-run eighth inning, punctuated by Tyrone Taylor's home run off Jonathan Loaisiga, the single biggest positive swing of the night at 18.7 percentage points, before tacking on four more runs in the ninth to produce the final 9-2 margin. Taylor finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-18.9 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.2, while Adames posted plus-13.8 percent WPA. On the pitching side, Elvis Peguero led all pitchers with a plus-14.7 percent WPA contribution, and both Wandy Peralta and Joel Payamps each added 8.3 percentage points for New York in what ultimately became a losing cause. The Brewers collected 11 hits against a Yankee staff that allowed the game to slip away in the late innings, while New York managed just four hits against Milwaukee's collective pitching effort.