MLB Recap · September 7, 2023

Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

DET10
Final
NYY3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
DET20240002010140
NYY010200000361

The Story

The Detroit Tigers handed the New York Yankees a lopsided 10-3 defeat at Yankee Stadium on September 7, 2023, pounding out 14 hits against a New York pitching staff that offered little resistance. The DiamondIQ model had opened the game with a 58 percent pre-game win probability favoring the home side, but that estimate collapsed steadily as Detroit seized control early and never relinquished it. The Tigers scored in the first, third, fourth, and eighth innings, while New York managed just six hits and committed an error across nine frames.

The decisive moments came in clusters during the game's opening acts. Matt Vierling's double in the top of the third off Carlos Rodón swung win probability 11.4 percent in Detroit's favor, and Tyler Nevin followed with another double off Rodón in the fourth that added a further 6.0 percent swing, compounding the damage as the Tigers built their cushion to four runs by the end of that inning. New York's most consequential offensive moment arrived in the bottom of the second, when Gleyber Torres connected for a home run off Eduardo Rodriguez for a 7.4 percent swing, briefly offering the Yankees a foothold. However, the same frame turned sharply against New York when Everson Pereira grounded into a double play, a sequence that cost the Yankees 13.5 percent in win probability and extinguished any momentum that Torres's blast might have generated.

Individually, Vierling led all position players with a cumulative WPA of plus-15.4 percent and a RE24 of plus-2.6, while Nevin contributed plus-10.9 percent WPA on the offensive side. Torres was New York's lone bright spot at the plate, finishing with plus-7.4 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.3. On the mound, Eduardo Rodriguez was the story of the night for Detroit, posting a commanding plus-15.8 percent WPA to pace all pitchers and anchor an outing that effectively decided the game before the middle innings arrived.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025DET bats firstFinalNYY win %DET win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 58.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Everson Pereira Grounded Into DP
Bot 2nd · off Eduardo Rodriguez
-13.5%
Matt Vierling Double
Top 3rd · off Carlos Rodón
+11.4%
Gleyber Torres Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Eduardo Rodriguez
+7.4%
Jasson Domínguez Groundout
Bot 1st · off Eduardo Rodriguez
-7.0%
Tyler Nevin Double
Top 4th · off Carlos Rodón
+6.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Matt Vierling+15.4%+2.6 RE24
Tyler Nevin+10.9%+0.2 RE24
Gleyber Torres+7.4%+1.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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