Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| AZ | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | 12 | 13 | 0 |
The Story
The Arizona Diamondbacks routed the Colorado Rockies 12-5 at Chase Field on September 6, 2023, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate anticipated, pegging Arizona's pre-game home win probability at 68% before watching it climb to 100% by the final out. The game's decisive sequence came in the bottom of the third inning, when Alek Thomas connected on a home run off Chris Flexen that swung win probability by 29.6 percentage points, the single largest play of the game and the moment that effectively put the contest out of reach. Arizona had already plated four runs in the first inning, and the five-run third extended that cushion to a commanding margin. Thomas added a single off Brent Suter in the bottom of the fourth worth another 12.3 percentage points, compounding the damage across multiple innings.
Thomas finished as the game's most impactful player by a wide margin, posting a WPA of plus 30.6 and an RE24 of plus 4.6. Tommy Pham was nearly as influential from a win-probability standpoint, contributing plus 19.1 WPA and plus 2.8 RE24, while Brenton Doyle's plus 18.1 WPA was notable given that his top individual play was a flyout in the top of the first that added 12.1 percentage points from Colorado's perspective, reflecting how quickly Arizona's pitchers shut down that early threat. On the mound, Bryce Jarvis led Arizona's staff with a plus 9.3 WPA, supported by Luis Frías at plus 2.0. Colorado managed six hits without an error but could not sustain the offensive pressure needed to challenge the Diamondbacks, who finished with 13 hits and a clean 12-run performance across nine innings.