MLB Recap · September 6, 2023

Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

BAL10
Final
LAA3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
BAL01400203010120
LAA002001000371

The Story

The Baltimore Orioles handed the Los Angeles Angels a decisive 10-3 defeat on September 6, 2023, at Angel Stadium, a result the DiamondIQ model foreshadowed from the outset, having assigned the home club only a 36 percent chance of winning before first pitch. That probability never recovered once Baltimore got going, and by the final out it had fallen to zero.

The third inning was the game's defining sequence. Baltimore sent nine men to the plate against Patrick Sandoval and scored four runs, with the decisive damage coming through a series of well-sequenced hits and walks. Austin Hays delivered a single that added 10.5 percentage points of win probability, Aaron Hicks followed with another single worth 11.6 points, and Anthony Santander extended the rally with a walk that contributed an additional 5.4 points. Those three plate appearances alone accounted for the inning's gravitational pull. Los Angeles answered briefly in the bottom half, as Luis Rengifo connected on a home run off Kyle Gibson that swung win probability back toward the Angels by 10.9 points, keeping the game from feeling entirely out of reach at that stage. However, a Nolan Schanuel ground into double play in the fifth, which cost the Angels 6.1 points of win probability, effectively extinguished their final credible threat, and Baltimore added two runs in the sixth and three more in the eighth to close out the margin.

Among individual contributors, Austin Hays led all batters with a WPA of plus-17.1 and a RE24 of plus-2.9, anchoring Baltimore's offensive output throughout the night. Anthony Santander and Luis Rengifo each posted a WPA of plus-9.5, though Santander's RE24 of plus-3.7 reflected a broader run-environment contribution. On the pitching side, Cionel Pérez was the Orioles' most impactful arm by WPA at plus-3.6, while Kyle Gibson finished as the top credited Angels pitcher at plus-1.8 despite absorbing the bulk of Baltimore's damage. The final line of 10 runs on 12 hits with no errors for Baltimore against 3 runs on 7 hits and one error for Los Angeles told a straightforward story of a road club that dominated nearly every inning that mattered.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025BAL bats firstFinalLAA win %BAL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 36.4% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Aaron Hicks Single
Top 3rd · off Patrick Sandoval
+11.6%
Luis Rengifo Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Kyle Gibson
+10.9%
Austin Hays Single
Top 3rd · off Patrick Sandoval
+10.5%
Nolan Schanuel Grounded Into DP
Bot 5th · off Kyle Gibson
-6.1%
Top 3rd · off Patrick Sandoval
+5.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Austin Hays+17.1%+2.9 RE24
Anthony Santander+9.5%+3.7 RE24
Luis Rengifo+9.5%+1.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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