MLB Recap · September 2, 2023

Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics: Final Score & Recap

LAA1
Final
OAK2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA100000000160
OAK00020000-250

The Story

Oakland held on for a 2-1 victory over Los Angeles at the Oakland Coliseum on September 2, 2023, with the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate giving the Athletics just a 36% chance of winning before the first pitch, a figure that climbed to 100% by the final out. The Athletics finished with five hits and no errors, while the Angels managed six hits but could not convert them into enough scoring, crossing the plate just once in the opening inning before going scoreless the rest of the way.

The decisive blow came in the bottom of the fourth inning, when Brent Rooker connected on a home run off Griffin Canning, a swing that shifted win probability by 20.7 percentage points and served as the game's single most impactful offensive play. Rooker finished as the top batter by WPA at plus 17.6 percent with a RE24 of plus 1.4, reflecting how central that one at-bat was to the outcome. Michael Stefanic also contributed positively from the Los Angeles side, drawing a walk in the ninth off Trevor May that moved the needle 10.6 percentage points in the Angels' favor, briefly keeping their faint comeback hopes alive. However, Brandon Drury's flyout to end that same ninth-inning frame cost Los Angeles 15.2 percentage points of win probability, and his fifth-inning groundout into a double play off Paul Blackburn had already damaged the Angels' cause by 11.9 points.

On the mound, Paul Blackburn led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 23.0, followed by Sam Long at plus 15.6 and Trevor May at plus 15.2, a collective pitching performance that suffocated any sustained Los Angeles threats and preserved the narrow one-run margin through the final inning.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalOAK win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 36.3% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Brent Rooker Home Run
Bot 4th · off Griffin Canning
+20.7%
Brandon Drury Flyout
Top 9th · off Trevor May
-15.2%
Brandon Drury Grounded Into DP
Top 5th · off Paul Blackburn
-11.9%
Top 9th · off Trevor May
+10.6%
Nolan Schanuel Groundout
Top 9th · off Trevor May
-9.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Brent Rooker+17.6%+1.4 RE24
Michael Stefanic+10.6%+0.4 RE24
Eduardo Escobar+6.4%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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