Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap

The Detroit Tigers defeated the Chicago White Sox 4-2 on September 1, 2023, at Guaranteed Rate Field, finishing with 11 hits against Chicago's 9 while committing no errors to the White Sox's one. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with an even split at 48 percent in favor of Chicago, a figure that gradually shifted as Detroit built a lead it would never relinquish.

The decisive sequence began in the top of the fifth inning, where Riley Greene delivered a single off Touki Toussaint that swung win probability 20.4 percent in Detroit's favor, part of a two-run frame that gave the Tigers their first lead. Detroit added another run in the sixth before Andrew Benintendi answered for Chicago in the bottom of the eighth with a double off Beau Brieske, a hit that moved the needle 17.9 percent toward the White Sox and briefly tightened the game to its final 4-2 margin. Alex Lange closed out the ninth, benefiting from a Lenyn Sosa groundout double play that shifted probability 14.9 percent toward Detroit and an Oscar Colás strikeout worth an additional 14.4 percent swing, effectively sealing the outcome. Sosa had also grounded into a double play in the fourth off Eduardo Rodriguez, a play that cost Chicago 11.0 percent in win probability at a critical juncture.

Andrew Benintendi led all batters with a WPA of plus-24.6 percent and an RE24 of plus-2.0, while Riley Greene contributed plus-18.7 percent WPA and plus-1.8 RE24 to anchor the Detroit offensive effort. Jake Rogers added plus-11.6 percent WPA. On the mound, Eduardo Rodriguez paced Detroit's pitching staff at plus-19.4 percent WPA, with Will Vest contributing plus-16.6 percent. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of Chicago's win probability ended at zero percent, reflecting how thoroughly Detroit controlled the game's closing stages.