Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWS | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| BAL | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
The Story
The Chicago White Sox overcame a 75% pre-game win probability assigned to the home Orioles by the DiamondIQ model, rolling to a 10-5 victory at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on August 30, 2023. Chicago did its damage in concentrated bursts, scoring four runs in the second inning, three more in the third, and adding another three in the sixth to build an insurmountable lead against a Baltimore club that never found consistent footing against Dylan Cease.
The decisive sequences unfolded across the middle innings with swing-shifting regularity. Oscar Colás opened the scoring surge in the second with a home run off Kyle Gibson that added 8.2 percentage points of win probability for Chicago. The third inning proved even more damaging, as Luis Robert Jr. went deep against Gibson for a swing worth plus-10.7 points, while Elvis Andrus followed with a single that added another 9.2 points in the same frame. Baltimore briefly answered when Anthony Santander hit a solo home run off Cease worth plus-9.4 points from the Orioles' perspective, but the deficit was too steep. Tim Anderson kept the pressure applied with a triple off Austin Voth in the sixth that shifted the needle another 8.8 points in Chicago's favor.
Robert Jr. finished as the game's top offensive contributor by WPA at plus-13.3%, while Anderson posted plus-11.8% and Colás added plus-11.3% alongside a team-best plus-1.4 RE24. On the mound, Cease was the principal factor in Chicago's pitching ledger, generating plus-11.1% WPA despite surrendering the Santander home run. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of Baltimore's win probability, which opened at 75%, collapsed to 0% by game's end, reflecting just how thoroughly the White Sox dismantled the favored home side.