MLB Recap · August 29, 2023

New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

NYY4
Final
DET2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
NYY100011001461
DET000000002271

The Story

The New York Yankees defeated the Detroit Tigers 4-2 at Comerica Park on August 29, 2023, in a game that the DiamondIQ model opened as a coin flip at 50% home win probability and closed at 0% for Detroit. New York scored in the 1st, 5th, 6th, and 9th innings, while the Tigers managed only a two-run 9th that came too late to matter. The Yankees finished with 6 hits and committed 1 error, while Detroit collected 7 hits but could not convert them into enough runs against a dominant New York pitching staff.

The single most impactful offensive play of the night belonged to Kyle Higashioka, whose 5th-inning home run off Tarik Skubal shifted win probability by +12.2% in New York's favor and proved to be the decisive turning point of the game. On the other side of the ledger, Giancarlo Stanton's 4th-inning double play off Skubal cost the Yankees 7.6 percentage points, and Anthony Volpe's 6th-inning strikeout, also against Skubal, surrendered another 6.6 points. Detroit's most damaging moment came in the bottom of the 9th, where Javier Baez struck out against Clay Holmes in a situation that swung +12.0% toward New York, effectively ending any Detroit comeback. Baez had also grounded into a double play in the 7th off Jhony Brito, a sequence that had cost the Tigers 8.3 percentage points of win probability at the time.

Among individual performers, Higashioka led all batters with a +11.4% WPA, while Gleyber Torres contributed +4.7% WPA alongside a team-best +1.7 RE24, indicating he was particularly productive in high-leverage run-expectancy situations. Harrison Bader added +3.2% WPA as well. The pitching staff was collectively dominant, with Michael King leading all pitchers at +21.8% WPA and Jhony Brito contributing +18.1% despite pitching in a frame where the Tigers briefly applied pressure. Wandy Peralta added +6.0% WPA to round out a well-distributed bullpen effort. The DiamondIQ model favors teams that suppress run expectancy as effectively as New York's pitchers did here, and the final line reflected that advantage in full.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025NYY bats firstFinalDET win %NYY win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 50.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Kyle Higashioka Home Run
Top 5th · off Tarik Skubal
+12.2%
Javier Báez Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Clay Holmes
+12.0%
Javier Báez Grounded Into DP
Bot 7th · off Jhony Brito
-8.3%
Giancarlo Stanton Grounded Into DP
Top 4th · off Tarik Skubal
-7.6%
Anthony Volpe Strikeout
Top 6th · off Tarik Skubal
-6.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Kyle Higashioka+11.4%+0.1 RE24
Gleyber Torres+4.7%+1.7 RE24
Harrison Bader+3.2%-0.2 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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