MLB Recap · July 21, 2023

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Recap

STL3
Final
CHC4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
STL010000200370
CHC00400000-491

The Story

AI recap unavailable for archived games. The final score, win-probability story, biggest plays, and top performers are all shown below.

Win Probability

755025STL bats firstFinalCHC win %STL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 56.5% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Alec Burleson Grounded Into DP
Top 8th · off Mark Leiter Jr.
-30.3%
Nolan Arenado Single
Top 7th · off Julian Merryweather
+18.8%
Cody Bellinger Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Jack Flaherty
+16.1%
Tyler O'Neill Flyout
Top 9th · off Adbert Alzolay
-13.5%
Mike Tauchman Double
Bot 3rd · off Jack Flaherty
+12.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Cody Bellinger+19.2%+2.3 RE24
Nolan Arenado+19.0%+1.0 RE24
Brendan Donovan+10.8%+0.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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